NCAA Pick of the Day 12/11/24 (95-68): Cal Baptist +14 -110

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Analysis:

The more outlandish stats can sometimes create a more skeptical tone, but trusting that ShotQuality is more predictive than efficiency (box score) statistics doesn't mean it has to be perfect... just better.

So take it with a grain of salt when you read the following stat; Cal Baptist Rates 93rd in adjusted SQ and SDSU rates 91st.

Most models would rate such close teams at around a -3 spread when one is on the road. Tonight you can get +14 points with Cal Baptist, so while it might not be a single possession game, there is value in trusting CBU to continue to develop good shots.

Check out the matchup page for this game.

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