Today's NCAA Pick of the Day 2024-12-11
2024-12-11 Justin Perri
NCAA Pick of the Day 12/11/24 (95-68): Cal Baptist +14 -110
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Analysis:
The more outlandish stats can sometimes create a more skeptical tone, but trusting that ShotQuality is more predictive than efficiency (box score) statistics doesn't mean it has to be perfect... just better.
So take it with a grain of salt when you read the following stat; Cal Baptist Rates 93rd in adjusted SQ and SDSU rates 91st.
Most models would rate such close teams at around a -3 spread when one is on the road. Tonight you can get +14 points with Cal Baptist, so while it might not be a single possession game, there is value in trusting CBU to continue to develop good shots.
Check out the matchup page for this game.
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