NCAA Pick of the Day 11/2/24 (90-63): Northern Iowa +2.5 -110

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Analysis:

The Bonnies are riding high, but what if I told you that all of their last four contests were expected to go significantly worse? Well, I assume you'd be interested in betting against them, and that's exactly the plan tonight.

ShotQuality's location based data calculates the expected result of every game, and here's how it looks for the Bonnies:

That's close to a total differential of 60 points in favor of SBU compared to SQ across four games, which means SQ is evaluating this team as though they're combining to allow and score a net of approximately 15 less points per game in this span!

My favorite way to convey the value of SQ is to ask, "if those SQ scores actually occurred, what would the line be?" or "in which direction would it shift?"

In this case it is clear, the Bonnies have been over performing and UNI should be a formidable test and maybe even the favorite in this contest. Grab the +2.5 points and watch the game with SQ Live for free below!

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