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Drexel has been a team SQ has identified as lucky for a good chunk of the season, and Hampton unlucky, in the same facet of the game; rim defense.
Hampton expected to be 5% better and Drexel expected to be 5% worse. It doesn't take much extrapolation to understand why when 35% of the game is played at the rim, these might make a large difference in the perception of these two teams.
The SQ Model is right on line with how I see it, a solid full possession win for Hampton at home.
SQ's Projection: HAMP 72 - DREX 68.
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