NCAA Pick of the Day 12/02/24 (91-64): Air Force +6.5 -105

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Analysis:

Maybe you've figured out how this all works by now. The Pick of the Day is a simple exercise in using ShotQuality data, there's no real rocket science outside of comparing SQ's stats against those that come from how the game resulted.

That's it, that's what is responsible for the brilliant 158-120 record across three leagues and it's how we're going to again try to find a winner here tonight.

I'll be as simple and short to the point as I can be tonight, efficiency metrics have Air Force flirting with being a bottom 60 team in college basketball, and Miami Ohio as just within the top 200 schools... which would yield a line around the 6.5 to 7.5 point spread we see tonight.

But what if Air Force was just getting unlucky and running a highly effective offensive game plan but just not hitting the shots? SQ sees a team that develops good spacing and should be expected to hit more shots at the rim, especially against a Miami Ohio team that struggles there.

Members: take a look at the matchup preview yourself here - based on the quality of the shots these teams develop, they're closer to even than this seven and a half point line.

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