NCAA Pick of the Day 03/08/25 (133-101-1 ): Albany -7.5 -105

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Albany's elite ability to force turnovers (40th nationally) should prove to be a nightmare matchup against a Binghamton squad that not only coughs up the ball at an alarming rate (328th in turnover rate) but also struggles mightily to force turnovers themselves (359th). The Great Danes compound this advantage by protecting the ball well (75th lowest turnover rate) and excel at limiting opponents' three-point attempts (73rd) while forcing them into low-quality looks from deep (57th). Binghamton does attack the rim at a high frequency (14th nationally), but this plays directly into Albany's defensive weakness of allowing shots at the rim (291st) – the crucial difference being that Binghamton will likely have far fewer possessions due to their turnover issues. While both teams struggle with spacing on offense (333rd and 312th respectively), Albany's ability to create extra possessions through the turnover battle should allow them to build a comfortable lead despite their inefficient shooting from deep. When a team can't force turnovers but gives the ball away constantly, it creates a possession deficit that's nearly impossible to overcome against a disciplined opponent, making Albany the clear play to cover this spread.

SQ's Projection: ALB 76 - BING 64.

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