NCAA Pick of the Day 02/14/25 (122-93-1): Sacred Heart +3.5 -105

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Analysis:

As glorious of an "SQ Spot" as we get. ShotQuality's data has these teams almost equally matched in terms of net expected point per possession. In today's basketball landscape, teams that are evenly matched usually see a three to four point spread in their favor when at home. Today's line implies that the market thinks Quinnipiac is around seven points better than Sacred Heart... SQ flat out disagrees, and the SQB model (different than my personal one) has this projected as an outright win for Sacred Heart.

I have it as a very slight outright win, rather than the bolder prediction from SQ. But hey, the agreement is what matters - a little Friday MAAC home dog never hurt anyone.

SQ's Projection: SHU 77 - QUIN 72.

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