NCAA Pick of the Day 03/15/25 (137-103-1): Creighton +6 -110

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The Big East championship showdown features a classic stylistic clash between St. John's interior-focused attack and Creighton's perimeter-oriented approach that should create value in this line. The Bluejays boast elite efficiency attacking the rim (3rd nationally) and exceptional passing (5th), while launching nearly half their shots from beyond the arc (49.2%, ranking 9th in frequency) with strong transition play (24th) to complement their half-court execution. St. John's counters with dominant offensive rebounding (12th nationally with a 35.6% OREB rate) and an aggressive defense that forces a high volume of turnovers (14th), but their three-point shooting weakness (301st in efficiency) is compounded by a defense that's equally vulnerable at the arc (337th in allowing quality 3-point looks). The regular season series split with each team holding serve at home, but Creighton's ability to limit shots at the rim defensively (32nd) coupled with St. John's struggles to defend the three (where Creighton thrives) creates a perfect recipe for the underdog. The Bluejays' confidence is peaking after upsetting UConn in the semifinals, and their ability to stretch the Red Storm's defense should keep this championship battle within the number.

SQ's Projection: CREI 75 - SJU 70.

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