NCAA Pick of the Day 02/4/25 (115-91-1): Fresno +3.5 -115

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Analysis:

San Jose is the luckiest team in the nation on three point shots. Fresno moves at a quick pace and develops decent shots with the fourth best shot selection in the conference and the second highest free throw rate, but at a simple, base level - San Jose's 39 percent shooting in conference is so high that this team will likely be anchored on the fade list until they go cold, there's simply not much more to it than that. I mean it.

The SQ Model understands this aspect and my personal one does as well, I make this Fresno -1.5. It'll be a great game, and hopefully the possession and the hook is more than enough if a long expected cold spell comes through for San Jose...

SQ's Projection: FRES 75 - SJSU 70 Visit the Matchup Simulator with any membership to view all projections from the model!

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