NCAA Pick of the Day 03/13/25 (135-103-1): Charlotte +10.5 -110

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Back to the well with the 49ers, we go! This matchup presents a fascinating clash of styles that creates a value opportunity on the underdog 49ers. Charlotte boasts the nation's 14th highest free throw rate at 42% and protects the ball admirably, ranking 44th in low turnover rate while also executing efficiently in transition (60th nationally). The Owls attack the rim with elite frequency (22nd nationally) and push the pace (54th in tempo), creating a stark contrast with Charlotte's deliberately slow approach (318th in tempo). Both teams share a glaring weakness in rim protection—Charlotte ranks 348th and FAU 320th in shots allowed at the rim—but the 49ers should benefit from FAU's porous three-point defense (306th in quality of looks allowed from deep). Though Charlotte struggles on the offensive glass and rarely forces turnovers, their ability to get to the line consistently and limit their own mistakes should help them keep this game within the double-digit spread against an FAU team that doesn't excel at defending jump shots. Take the points with the 49ers in what could be a more competitive contest than the market suggests.

SQ's Projection: CHAR 76 - FAU 74.

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