NCAA Pick of the Day 02/22/25 (125-95-1): Cal Poly +1.5 -110

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Analysis:

Not much time here, this game starts at 5PM ET (currently 4:05pm ET) , Poly is expected to be performing much better on offense in the conference and their quick tempo with a high frequency of three point shots should give us plenty of opportunity for the regression to take hold this afternoon.

Riverside, on the other hand, is hot from beyond the arc in conference play and getting lucky at the rim defensively while allowing good looks. They also were expected to lose one of their two most recent games at home which is a consistent indicator to sell high when that team then hits the road, as UCR is here.

This is an "SQ spot", meaning both sides of the matchup point in the same direction of value. Riverside over performing, Poly underperforming. Trust the data, take the underperforming side.

SQ's Projection: POLY 77.5 - UCR 72.

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