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Betting Winning Metrics Glossary

Analyze your favorite team and favorite bets using the best data in basketball.

Live Proj Game Total v Market Total Diff

The difference between the live projected total and the actual live total, at that time.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Max

Represents Largest Difference between Live Proj Spread and Live Spread under Current Filtered Criteria

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Opp SQ Live PPP vs Pre PPP % Diff

Percentage by which the Opponent's In-Game Expectations exceed its Pre-Game Expectations. 10% means the Opponent is Underperforming & -5% means the Opponent is Overperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

SQ Live PPP vs Pre PPP % Diff

Percentage by which the Team's In-Game Expectations exceed its Pre-Game Expectations. 10% means the Team is Underperforming & -5% means the Team is Overperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Proj Game Total

Adjusted market total lines based on team and opponent shooting luck per ShotQuality.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Proj Spread v Market Spread Diff

The difference between the live projected spread and the actual live spread, at that time.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Proj Spread

Adjusted market spread lines based on team and opponent shooting luck per ShotQuality.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Opponent SQ Points

Expected Points Against (Explainer Here)

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Possessions

A trip down the floor for a team

Used On: Glossary, StatsExplained

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ)

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ) evaluates a team's shooting efficacy (adjOFF SQ) and defensive prowess (adjDEF SQ) adjusted for strength of schedule (teams facing tougher opponents see ratings adjust favorably, while those against weaker foes show a decline).

Used On: Glossary, TeamStandings, StatsExplained

ShotQuality Points Per Possession (SQPPP)

For players:

  • Expected points scored per scoring opportunity (a true shooting attempt)

Used On: Glossary, StatsExplained

SQ PPS

Expected Points Per Shot. Incorporates up to 90 variables, including shot type, shooter ability, defender location, and defender height. Click Here to Learn more

Used On: Glossary, Scores, ScoreCenter, StatsExplained

SQ Under%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went under the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Over Win %

Percent of times the team went over the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "over bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game. Before a game starts, oddsmakers will set a predicted total score for both teams combined. Bettors can then wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that predicted total.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Win%

Percent of games won in the season

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the ShotQuality score differential. For example, if the sportsbooks have a team expected to win by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 4 the team covered. Conversely, if the sportsbooks have a team losing by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 2 the underdog covered.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Favorite Win %

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game favorite. A favorite is the the team or player that is expected to win, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The favorite is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Favorite Win%

The winning percentage when the team was favored by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Over%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went over the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game underdog. An underdog is the the team or player that is expected to lose, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The underdog is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

SQ Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was an underdog by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Under Win %

Percent of times the team went under the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "under bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary

Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the spread set by the sportsbooks regardless of whether they are the favorite or the underdog. For example, if the favorite is expected to win by 3 (spread is -3) and they win by 4 the favorite covered. Conversely, if the underdog is expected to lose by 3 (+3) and the ShotQuality Score had them lose by 2 the underdog covered.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, BettingRecord

Points Per Possession (PPP)

Points Per Possession (PPP)

Used On: Glossary

Points per Shot (PPS)

Points per field goal attempt.

Used On: Scores, Glossary, ScoreCenter

Opp Live SQ PPP

Opponent Expected Points Per Possession in the In-Game

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Opp Live SQ PPP vs Live PPP %Diff

Percentage by which the Opponent is Underperforming its In-Game Expectations. 10% means the Opponent is Underperforming & -5% means the Opponent is Overperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Opp Live PPP vs Pre PPP %Diff

Percentage by which the Opponent is Overperforming its Pre-Game Expectations. 10% means the Opponent is Overperforming & -5% means the Opponent is Underperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Opp Live PPP

Actual Opponent Points Per Possession in the In-Game

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Team Live PPP vs Pre PPP %Diff

Percentage by which the Team is Overperforming its Pre-Game Expectations. 10% means the Team is Overperforming & -5% means the Team is Underperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Team Live SQ PPP vs Live PPP %Diff

Percentage by which the Team is Underperforming its In-Game Expectations. 10% means the Team is Underperforming & -5% means the Team is Overperforming

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Team Live SQ PPP

ShotQuality Expected Points Per Possession in the In-Game

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Team Live PPP

Actual Points Per Possession For in the In-Game

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Pace vs Pre Pace %Diff

Percentage by which the Game's Actual Pace Exceeds the Pregame Pace

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Pace

The Game's Actual Pace

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Pregame Pace

Projected Pregame Pace (Average of Both Teams in Previous Games)

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Total

Live Consensus Point Total

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Live Spread

Live Consensus Point Spread

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Total minus SQ Total

Amount by which the Actual Total Points Scored by Both Teams Exceeds the total ShotQuality Points.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Point Differential minus SQ Point Differential

Amount by which the Team's Actual Point Differential Exceeds the ShotQuality Point Differential.

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Pregame Total

Closing Consensus Pregame Total

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Pregame Spread

Closing Consensus Pregame Point Spread

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

SQ Total

Sum of SQ Points and Opponent SQ Points

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Total

Sum of Actual Points and Actual Opponent Points

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Point Differential

Actual Points minus Actual Opponent Points

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

SQ Point Differential

SQ Points Minus Points

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Opponent Points

Opponent Actual Points

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Actual Points

Actual Points For

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Minimum Time Elapsed

Minimum Time Elapsed in the Game

Used On: Glossary, LiveQueryTool

Good Possessions

A scoring opportunity in the top third of expected value.

Used On: Glossary

Total Score

The combined score of both teams in any given basketball game. This is graded against to determine the winner of over & under bets.

Used On: Projections, BestBets, Glossary

Score

When using the Daily Projections tool, this column shows the projected score from the ShotQualityBets Model of the team to the left of the column.

Used On: Projections, Glossary

Points of Value

The difference, in points, between the current betting line and what the ShotQualityBets model projects the line to be.

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Selected Book

The selected book column updates lines and prices when you change what sports book's odds you area showing on the Daily Projections tool. Showing any selected book, Consensus, or the auto calculated Best Line.

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Side With Value

This indicates which side of a betting line the ShotQualityBets model is showing value on. Combine this with Points of Value to get the complete picture!

Used On: Players, Glossary, Results

SQ Win%

Percent of games won in the season according to the ShotQuality Score which is based on the team's expected performance.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

ShotQuality (SQ) Record

Expected wins and losses for a team, considering the quality of shots taken and allowed.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings