Winning Metrics >

Betting Winning Metrics Glossary

Analyze your favorite team and favorite bets using the best data in basketball.

Total Score

The combined score of both teams in any given basketball game. This is graded against to determine the winner of over & under bets.

Used On: Projections, BestBets, Glossary

Score

When using the Daily Projections tool, this column shows the projected score from the ShotQualityBets Model of the team to the left of the column.

Used On: Projections, Glossary

ShotQuality Points Per Possession (SQPPP)

For players:

  • Expected points scored per scoring opportunity (a true shooting attempt)

Used On: Glossary, TeamStandings

Points of Value

The difference, in points, between the current betting line and what the ShotQualityBets model projects the line to be.

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Selected Book

The selected book column updates lines and prices when you change what sports book's odds you area showing on the Daily Projections tool. Showing any selected book, Consensus, or the auto calculated Best Line.

Used On: Glossary, Projections, BestBets

Side With Value

This indicates which side of a betting line the ShotQualityBets model is showing value on. Combine this with Points of Value to get the complete picture!

Used On: Players, Glossary, Results

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ)

Adjusted ShotQuality (adj SQ) evaluates a team's shooting efficacy (adjOFF SQ) and defensive prowess (adjDEF SQ) adjusted for strength of schedule (teams facing tougher opponents see ratings adjust favorably, while those against weaker foes show a decline).

Used On: Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was an underdog by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Underdog Win%

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game underdog. An underdog is the the team or player that is expected to lose, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The underdog is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Over%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went over the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Favorite Win%

The winning percentage when the team was favored by the sportsbooks and won according to the ShotQuality score.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the spread set by the sportsbooks regardless of whether they are the favorite or the underdog. For example, if the favorite is expected to win by 3 (spread is -3) and they win by 4 the favorite covered. Conversely, if the underdog is expected to lose by 3 (+3) and the ShotQuality Score had them lose by 2 the underdog covered.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Favorite Win %

The winning percentage when the team was the pre-game favorite. A favorite is the the team or player that is expected to win, based on the odds set by bookmakers or sportsbooks. The favorite is typically indicated by a negative point spread or moneyline.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Under Win %

Percent of times the team went under the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "under bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Cover%

The percentage of time a team covers the ShotQuality score differential. For example, if the sportsbooks have a team expected to win by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 4 the team covered. Conversely, if the sportsbooks have a team losing by 3 and the ShotQuality Score had them winning by 2 the underdog covered.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Win%

Percent of games won in the season

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

Over Win %

Percent of times the team went over the closing line set by the sportsbooks. An "over bet" refers to a type of wager related to the total combined score of a game. Before a game starts, oddsmakers will set a predicted total score for both teams combined. Bettors can then wager on whether the actual combined score will be over or under that predicted total.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Win%

Percent of games won in the season according to the ShotQuality Score which is based on the team's expected performance.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

ShotQuality (SQ) Record

Expected wins and losses for a team, considering the quality of shots taken and allowed.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings

SQ Under%

The percentage of times the total ShotQuality score of the game went under the projected total from the sportsbooks.

Used On: BettingAnalysis, Glossary, TeamStandings