The ShotQuality Model is projecting this Big 10 Conference Tournament game between Penn St and Michigan to result in 143.7 points, pointing the POTD to the Under on a game that might be more exciting in football… Anyway, Michigan is a team that takes bad shots at the rim, rating 292nd in the country, while also being top 25%ILE in mid-range frequency. Defensively the Wolverines limit opponents to a low rate of 3PT shots taken, which should keep the total a bit lower. They’re 37th best in that defensive category. Penn St is also adept in chasing opponents off the line, rating in the top 50 themselves. Games without many 3's certainly have a tougher time going Over the number and that’s what we should have here. Issues might arise out of transition opportunities, Penn St can force turnovers, but also can’t defend the rim well and chasing teams off the 3PT line therefore means we need Michigan taking midrange shots. Hopefully they oblige as we look to grab another win on the Under!
👀 See the full matchup preview for Todays POTD here.
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