Welcome back Max-a-Millionaires to one of the best Sunday cards I think we have had all year. In our last article on Thursday we were able to put up a 2-1 night with our Northwestern best bet hitting as well. We have lost our last two best bets since so let's get back on track here with another 3 pack of games.

Max-a-Million Best Bets:

1. Wright St. Over 159.5 (BB)

2. Florida Atlantic ML (-120)

3. Siena Team Total Under 63.5

1. Wright St. Over 159.5 (BB)

Let's get the best bets back on track here with the over in Wright St. and Oakland. ShotQuality is projecting about 164.5 points here so some significant value on the over.

These teams have been great to the overs all season.

• Wright St. is 19-5 to the Over

• Oakland is 16-11 to the Over

That is because of some elite offensive production from these two Horizon squads.

• Wright St. is 21st in Adjusted SQ Offense

• Oakland is 116th in Adjusted SQ Offense

These offense have been outstanding all year for a pair of mid-majors. Both offenses should get a bump here as well because the defenses have struggled this year.

• Wright St. is 309th in Adjusted SQ Defense

• Oakland is 232nd in Adjusted SQ Defense

Teams have been able to carve up these defenses all year and I would expect nothing less from two very efficient offenses. We are certainly getting this at a discount because of their most recent matchup this year.

On February 10th, Oakland won this game 74-60 which is significantly lower than the total in that which was 163.5. However, ShotQuality projected that the final score should have been a Wright St. win of 88-72! Let's bet on that regression and take the discount line here.

2. Florida Atlantic ML (-120)

For our next play we will be backing FAU as they go on the road to play Memphis. This play was close to being the best bet but frankly I just don't trust FAU enough currently. However, this matchup should very much favor the Owls.

Florida Atlantic loves to take shots at the rim and from deep.

• FAU is 23rd in Rim & 3 Rate

• FAU is 39th in Rim & 3 SQ PPP

I love to see a team taking this many shots at both the rim and from three because they are the highest valued shots in basketball. I like it even more when I see that they rank 39th in efficiency on those attempts.

I like it even more when you factor in their defensive opponent in this one.

• Memphis is 331st in Rim Defense

• Memphis is 339th in 3pt Defense

So FAU lives at the hoop and from three, they are efficient, and Memphis can't stop those looks? Sign me up as I've seen enough, FAU gets the road win here.

3. Siena Team Total Under 63.5

Hello to our reliable friend Siena team total unders. We have been absolutely feasting on this team as they are averaging 55 points in their last 4 road games. ShotQuality is projecting 62 points for the Saints here which would still be right under our total.

Siena should be turning it over like crazy in this one.

• Fairfield is 39th in Turnovers Forced

• Siena is 361st in Turnover Rate

Siena is one of the worst teams at taking care of the ball and this is what the Fairfield defense will make you do. I'm no genius but it is very hard to score when you turn it over, some might say impossible.

Fairfield has struggled to stop opponents at the rim this year.

• Fairfield is 311th in Rim Defense

Luckily for them, Siena doesn't get many looks at the rim and even when they do, they are inefficient.

• Siena is 207th in Rim Efficiency

• Siena is 273rd in Rim Frequency

The Stags should not get beat as bad as they typically do inside the paint. Hopefully Siena doesn't even get a chance to reach the paint because they've turned it over!

In the last game these two played, Siena lost 93-69. The only reason the Saints got to 69 is because the game was a blowout so Fairfield called off the dogs in the second half. In that first half, Siena only scored 28 points and was down 13 at half. Hopefully no funny business this time and Siena stays under the number.

Best of luck everyone, let's have a day!

About the Author

Max is a college basketball lover and a longtime gambler so ShotQuality Bets is the perfect match for him. Look for Max’s best bets on the Max-a-Million articles where he gives expert analysis on how to maximize ShotQuality data to make money. He did this successfully last season for us picking 56% and profiting 28.5u on over 300 plays! Currently he sits at 54-53-1 and will hope to have a repeat of last season. Make sure to give him a follow on X!