Welcome back Max-a-Millionaires to a Saturday edition of WNBA bets. The games are Saturday afternoon so make sure you don't miss the tip times. The Aces and Liberty are both the short shots to win the WNBA title so this could be a potential preview of the championship. We've got 2 games on the slate and I will be betting them both.
Max-a-Million Best Bets:
Wings vs Sun Under 157.5
Aces vs Liberty Over 171
1. Wings vs Sun Under 157.5
The first of our afternoon sweats will be the under in the Wings and Sun game. This game should not have many three pointers as both teams tend to shy away from the deep ball.
Sun are 10th in 3pt Frequency
Wings are 11th in 3pt Frequency
Avoiding the three point spurts is crucial when betting an under. As a result, this means that both teams attack the rim with high frequency.
Sun are 2nd in Rim Frequency
Wings are 5th in Rim Frequency
This high rim frequency should play right into the hands of the defense so as an under bettor I am not too worried.
Sun are 1st in Rim Defense
Wings are 3rd in Rim Defense
The Sun being 1st in rim defense is no surprise as they are also ranked 1st in Adjusted SQ Defense. However, the Wings are ranked last in the league in Adjusted SQ Defense. This means that this matchup against the Sun should be good since the Sun attack the rim often and that is the only good aspect of the Wings defense.
2. Aces vs Liberty Over 171
For our next play, we are taking the over in the must watch game of the day. The tempo in this one should be fast if it is controlled by the home favorite.
Aces are 1st in Tempo
Las Vegas has been pushing the pace this year and this has led to a 7-4 record to the Over for them thus far. When it comes to offensive efficiency, these two teams are the best.
Aces are 1st in 3pt Efficiency
Liberty are 2nd in 3pt Efficiency
The two most valuable shots in basketball are the three pointer and shots at the rim. Not only are the great from deep, but they excel at the other valuable shot.
Aces are 3rd in Rim Efficiency
Liberty are 1st in Rim Efficiency
Taking advantage of the most valuable shots should help our over bet. If it comes down to it, they also rank as the top free throw shooting teams in the league.
Aces are 1st in FT Efficiency
Liberty are 2nd in FT Efficiency
If the game is faster paced then hopefully those extra possessions get these teams into the bonus because they both shoot about 85% from the stripe. The spread is a one possession game so if somebody has a late lead, we could always have the potential for late free throws.
Best of luck to everyone tailing our pair of totals and enjoy some great WNBA action!
About the Author
Max is a college basketball lover and a longtime gambler so ShotQuality Bets is the perfect match for him. Look for Max’s best bets on the Max-a-Million articles where he gives expert analysis on how to maximize ShotQuality data to make money. Make sure to give him a follow on X!
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