Nurkic has been cold, he has consistently underperformed his SQ expected points in the last week which illustrates a potential decline in shotmaking ability, maybe even playing hurt, that’s speculation but its late season and you never know. The data is indicative of someone who currently will need to take more shots than normal to attain their point total. Outside of the big performance vs the Pelicans, Nurk has gone under this consistently and if SQ is identifying him as a cold we will stick with that until he shows signs of outperforming, or consistently meeting, expectations. Nurkic is effective attacking the rim but his FT% is bottom 12 %ILE in the league, which is around 64% shooting. The Timberwolves are 2nd in defense against shots at the rim and allow the 5th highest FT rate against, so that should pose trouble for Nurkic if he’s attempting to get points against Gobert. Keep on the Suns big man to stay cold, and grab the Under for his points scored.
Bonus Prop: Mike Conley O12.5 Points -128 @FD We’ll go back to Mike Conley on an Over, in the same game, since we missed yesterday and he sat the day before. Conley is still a reliable option and in a good spot here to surpass his expected total. With an AVG SQ Point total of 13 in his last 10 games and an actual average of 16ppg in that span, even if Conley regresses to expectations, he still has a good chance to get to this number.
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March is right around the corner but do not wait that long to start tailing Max-a-Million's best bets. Max is using ShotQuality's advanced analytics to help bettors find an edge against the sportsbooks.
March is right around the corner but don't wait that long to start tailing Max-a-Million's best bets. Max is using ShotQuality's advanced analytics to help bettors find an edge against the sportsbooks.