The ShotQualityBets Model is projecting this Coastal Clash between Charleston and Campbell to result in 148.4 points, giving a solid edge to the Under at 155.5. As can been easily seen with our handy-dandy scorecards, Campbell is 287th in pace and will attempt to slow down Charleston who rates 85th. The scorecards paint a picture of two very different teams, Charleston is effective on less than ideal shots, and Campbell is ineffective even on decent looks. Charleston struggles to get to the Free Throw line (309th lowest frequency) and is largely inefficient in transition (299th) while also clearly over performing in crucial shot-types in conference play. Both the finishing at the rim adn 3PT success rates that Charleston is seeing in the Coastal, are elevated by 5% each. So their 36% 3PT rate should be much closer to 31%. Their defense is also expected to be allowing less points. Campbell owns an identical 5% expected regression on their in-conference 3PT percent, is allowing way more than expected in the midrange, and also even from 3PTs as well. This is a great blend of potential regression, metrics and projections. Grab the Under at 155.5!
👀 See the full matchup preview for Charleston Campbell here.
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