The ShotQuality Bets Model is projecting this Big Sky Saturday matchup between Montana and Portland State at 140.1 points, giving us a strong edge on the Under for today’s Pick of the Day! Starting off on the right foot, Montana rates at 302nd in pace and Portland St is just around average at 158th. While the Grizzlies are slow, they are effective shot makers so Portland St will need to force some discomfort. This will come on jump shots, as Montana is 284th in Rim and 3 Rate and 46th in Midrange frequency. This is good news since Portland State struggles to defend the rim, and the 3PT… while being surprisingly adequate against mid-range shots. Another key aspect here is the Grizzlies defense is expected to be performing better than it currently is, in both 3PT shots and at the rim attempts, Montana is expected to be allowing a 4% lower success rate. This conference matchup should be a good spot for an Under, meeting the threshold of projections and ShotQuality Metrics.
👀 See the full matchup preview for Portland St vs Montana here.
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