Welcome back Max-a-Millionaires to our second edition of WNBA playoff best bets and analysis. We are coming off a nice 2-0 article as we cashed our Sun and Lynx Over along with the Lynx covering the big number of 9 to shut out the Mercury.

Today we've got two excellent semifinal games to preview between the Liberty versus Aces and Lynx versus Sun. Since this game two we are going to use game one's data to help us find a betting angle.

For the first game of the night, the Las Vegas Aces will still be looking for their first win against the Liberty this season!

• Aces are 0-4 SU vs Liberty

• Aces are 1-3 ATS vs Liberty

The Liberty have had the Aces number all season both straight up and on the spread. ShotQuality has been in agreement with these results as the Aces are 1-3 on the SQ score against the Liberty.

The only game that ShotQuality had the Aces winning was their most recent battle in game one which is pictured below.

The Liberty were able to win this game comfortably by 10 points and cover but SQ tells a different story. SQ had the Aces winning in a close game which is why I like taking the points here with Las Vegas.

The stars for New York were shining in game one as Stewart and Ionescu combined for 55 points on a SQ expected 45 points. I am not rushing to bet against either of them and take a points prop under, but I will take the Aces and the points hoping those Liberty players can regress. Season is virtually on the line here for the champs and I think they respond.

Bet: Las Vegas Aces +3.5

In game one of the series, the Sun were able to pull off the upset as underdogs against the Lynx. The Lynx don't have to look too much further than a terrible fourth quarter shooting performance as to why they lost.

Pictured above, the Lynx only scored 8 points in the fourth quarter with a horrendous 0.44 PPS (points per shot). The scoring was steady for both teams up until that point and the game was pacing to go over the total. However, the Sun also had a cold shooting performance in the final quarter of the game and overall.

The Sun did enough to win the game late but it wasn't anything spectacular as they scored 16 points on an expected 20 in the fourth quarter. Overall the total landed 143 with an SQ projected total of 158 which is why I am taking the over here.

We are getting a discount here as the total in game one was 155 points. I think this line has adjusted too much and gladly will take an over and expect some positive shooting regression. Especially since the game was pacing over until just a dreaded fourth quarter.

Bet: Lynx vs Sun Over 151

About the Author

Max is a college basketball lover and a longtime gambler so ShotQuality Bets is the perfect match for him. Look for Max’s best bets on the Max-a-Million articles where he gives expert analysis on how to maximize ShotQuality data to make money. Make sure to give Max a follow on X!