Welcome back Max-a-Millionaires as we start ramping back up into the WNBA season after a month break. There is just one game on for tonight but I've got 2 props that I am looking to target here in what should be a good matchup. Before we dive into the picks, let's take a look at the matchup here.
Also, don't forget to tune into SQ Live Show tomorrow at 8pm as the Friday slate is loaded!
The New York Liberty should have a significant advantage here on the offensive side of the ball.
Liberty are 1st in Passing
Liberty are 2nd in Rim Efficiency
Great ball movement has helped lead to some easy buckets at the rim. This is the exact angle we are going to want to target as Dallas doesn't defend well against these shots.
The Dallas Wings have really struggled this season to keep opponents out of the paint.
Wings are 10th in Rim Frequency Allowed
Dallas is allowing opponents to get shots at the rim frequently and this is going to be great for our two player props. Especially when you consider how efficient they are at attacking the rim.
The first player we are taking the over on is Breanna Stewart. As you can see in the image above, she is coming off a 26 point game against the Wings. She especially took advantage of that weak interior defense as Stewart ranks in the 83rd %ile in rim efficiency.
Although she had a great game, she actually recorded 33 SQ points as she slightly underperformed based on the quality of shots taken.
Similar to Stewart, Jonquel Jones too was balling against the Wings just a few days ago. Jones was able to score 23 points which flew over her total. This too was off the heels of a great advantage inside as SQ has Jones in the 99th %ile in rim efficiency.
Max-a-Million Best Bets:
Stewart Over 23.5 Pts (-108) FD
Jones Over 14.5 Pts (-125) FD
I played both of these props over to win 1u on each. I am aware that Ionescu being out was a big factor in their usage increases last game. However, she is questionable again and these lines are set as if she is playing. If she is ruled out it is better for us but even if she plays we can still hit these.
Best of luck to anyone tailing and don't forget to tune into live show tomorrow!
About the Author
Max is a college basketball lover and a longtime gambler so ShotQuality Bets is the perfect match for him. Look for Max’s best bets on the Max-a-Million articles where he gives expert analysis on how to maximize ShotQuality data to make money. Make sure to give him a follow on X!
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